An Analysis of Urban Development Potential Based on Ecological Carrying Capacity

Abstract： The study of urban development potential is an exploration of the future development of a city, a forecast based on the evaluation of the current state of development of the city. The study of urban development potential is one of the important components of the theoretical system of sustainable development. Ecological carrying capacity is one of the difficult, key and hot spots of ecological research, and is one of the supporting theories of sustainable development. The study of ecological carrying capacity is not only of great significance to the development of ecology, but also has very important practical significance to the exploration of sustainable development theory. Based on the ecological carrying capacity and with the aim of sustainable development, this paper makes a preliminary comprehensive study on the evaluation system of urban development potential based on ecological carrying capacity by establishing the coupling mechanism of ecological carrying capacity and urban development potential. The specific contents include： 1. On the basis of sorting out the research and practice dynamics of ecological carrying capacity and urban development potential, briefly summarises the main problems existing in the current research on ecological carrying capacity and urban development potential, and clarifies that resources and environmental factors are the key components of urban development potential research. 2.Based on this, this paper examines and analyses the relationship between ecological carrying capacity and urban development potential (including external relationship and internal relationship) by establishing a coupling mechanism linking ecological carrying capacity and urban development potential, and examines and analyses the relationship between the two (including external relationship and internal relationship) from the aspects of concept, connotation, evaluation method and index system, and clarifies that ecological carrying capacity is the basis of urban development potential, and ecological carrying capacity and urban It is clear that ecological carrying capacity is the basis of urban development potential, and ecological carrying capacity and urban development potential are closely interdependent. 3. The method of evaluating urban development potential based on ecological carrying capacity is systematically explored, and an evaluation system of urban development potential based on ecological carrying capacity is constructed from four aspects: resource carrying potential, environmental carrying capacity, human support potential and socio-economic development potential. 4. The full study is summarized and further work directions are briefly discussed. Citations： Zhao Dongsheng and Guo Cailan. Advances in ecological carrying capacity research. Journal of Ecology. 2019(2):399-410 Zhang Linbo. Research on the theory and method of ecological carrying capacity of cities--Shenzhen as an example. Beijing: China Environmental Science Press, 2009 Roldan Muradian. Immigration and the environment: Underlying values and scope of analysis .Ecological Economics. 2006, Vol 59(2). 208~213